How scores are calculated, where data comes from, and how to use the platform.
Strategic Industrial Intelligence is an open-source dashboard for U.S. industrial base health and supply chain dependencies across national security sectors. It provides a map-first interface for exploring critical mineral supply chains, defense manufacturing capacity, energy infrastructure, and global logistics.
The platform uses exclusively public data. No classified or proprietary inputs are used. Anyone can reproduce the analysis. All scores are relative rankings, not absolute predictions — they provide structural insight into where vulnerabilities exist.
Users switch between sector “lenses” (Metals & Mining, Manufacturing, Energy, Logistics) and the map transforms to show that sector's data. The unique value is cross-sector connection mapping: click on a mineral and see which manufacturing sectors depend on it.
Every score is decomposable. Users can click through to see exactly which inputs produced which number.
No classified or proprietary inputs. Anyone can reproduce the analysis.
Structural insight, not precision forecasting. All scores are relative rankings.
Scores reflect dependencies between sectors where possible.
HHI = Σ(market_share_i²) for all countries iRange: 0.0 (perfect competition) to 1.0 (monopoly). Applied per mineral per supply chain stage (mining, processing, refining).
concentration_risk = (0.25 * HHI_mining + 0.40 * HHI_processing + 0.35 * HHI_refining) * 100Processing weighted highest: hardest to replicate, where China has invested most aggressively.
adversary_share = Σ(share_i) for i in {China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, ...}
adversary_dependency = (0.25 * adv_mining + 0.40 * adv_processing + 0.35 * adv_refining) * 100Measures total share of supply controlled by adversary nations across all stages.
True if any country controls >50% of any supply chain stageoverall_risk = (0.30 * concentration_risk +
0.25 * adversary_dependency +
0.20 * import_dependency +
0.15 * defense_criticality_score +
0.10 * substitutability_penalty)| Component | Weight | Source | Measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capacity utilization | 0.30 | FRED | Are factories running? 80%+ = healthy |
| Employment trend | 0.25 | BLS | Growing = positive (3-year trend) |
| Output trend | 0.20 | Census ASM | Value of shipments trend (3-year) |
| Geographic diversity | 0.15 | BLS/Census | HHI of employment by state |
| Investment pipeline | 0.10 | IndustrialSage/CHIPS | New facilities announced or under construction |
defense_concentration = (
0.40 * contract_hhi +
0.30 * sole_source_pct +
0.30 * facility_density
)Higher score = more concentrated = higher risk. Measures how much critical defense manufacturing is concentrated in a single area.
A disruption scenario consists of a trigger (country X restricts resource Y), direct impact (supply drops by N%), cascade analysis (which downstream sectors depend on Y), severity assessment (based on substitutability and stockpile levels), and estimated recovery time.
Explore scenarios interactively on the Disruption Scenarios page.
Based on structured, regularly updated government data (FRED, EIA, USGS, USAspending).
Based on compiled public reports and estimates (munitions rates, reshoring announcements).
Based on press reports, expert estimates, or extrapolation (sub-tier suppliers, stockpile adequacy).
Establishment counts, employment, and output by NAICS code.
Active mine locations, operators, employment, commodities.
Use the pills at the top of the map (or press 1-4) to switch between Metals & Mining, Manufacturing, Energy, and Logistics.
The left panel lists entities for the active lens, sorted by risk. Click any item to see its detail panel.
The right panel shows risk scores, supply chain breakdown, trade data, defense applications, and linked cross-sector dependencies.
Markers show mine locations, shipyards, investments, and trade flow arcs. Toggle layers with the controls in the bottom-left corner.
Press / to focus the search bar. Find minerals, sectors, facilities, investments, or defense programs by name.
Visit the Compare page to see side-by-side risk scores for any two minerals.